Investing is frequently perceived a risky pursuit. However, this require not be so tough if one applies hard work, common sense, consistency as well as patience. Indeed, there is a good possibility; you can even manage to obtain it right!
Being a Contrarian
Contrarian investing is about thinking in your own ways, in this sense it is more behavioral. A contrarian considers that certain behavior of the crowd like panic selling among investors may lead to the wrong pricing in markets as well as make opportunities for the benefit. Contrarians stand to profit by performing contrary to the consensus, while the sentiment turns. It, however, does not signify that one need to think as well as act contrary at all times.
Picking up the sector or stock that is not the most popular is first and foremost what the contrarian style is all about. One is investigating for stocks which are grossly under-priced as well as have potential to remain unlocked. Numerous Contrarian Investors are there, who have been extremely successful in the game. Being Warren Buffet is one of the most successful and popular contrarian investors. They believed in, ‘purchasing an amazing stock for a reasonable price as well as, not in purchasing a reasonable stock for an amazing price’.
Contrarian investing may be very rewarding if it is applied cautiously, it is about recognizing the patterns of greed as well as fear which may be diligently employed to one’s best benefit to optimize returns. A view at how equity markets have criticized over the past can give the valuable signs on how as an individual can have employed market movement to time the entry as well as exit to the best of one’s ability along with the good intentions for portfolio:
There are examples where one can have measured the sentiment from the powerful buy or sell activity. In Oct ’09 and Oct ’10, in the above figure, the markets were making new height and explicitly the RSI (relative strength index) had shifted to the overbought zone that proposed that the P/E expansion was rigorous and over the medium term, one can expect a correction. In a few months, as expected, one observed markets enter the oversold zone. If we consider the current trend, market is in the oversold zone, individual is not certain about lasting of it in this space, although sooner or later it must turnaround. One can observe the markets coming back to the significant valuations. It can be the right time in order to get the shopping bags out. However, you require treading cautiously, as you do not know about the time of it to linger here or deeply it can be cut. Investing in the falling market is just like trying to grasp a falling knife, you will surely to get hurt rigorously if your timing is wrong. One can however, never predict the bottom of a market; therefore, it is best to utilize the cost averaging method, particularly in the falling market.
When the market falls for the every time, the market has increased and carried out rare returns. A contrarian appreciates the very cycle exploits it well as to the utmost extent. Several of us are the spectator of the 2008 debacle as well as know that sharply what went down has jumped back in good health as the time runs.
Everything in the world contains 2 sides, and this is same with the contrarian investing. If it is not implemented carefully, it can ruin everything. The drawback of contrarian investing is high volatility of it. Contrarians should be capable to obtain into a falling market as well as be prepared in order to see the investment fall lower. Equally, they should also be capable to get out of the market when it reaches new heights. Investing just against the consensus, without caring basic analysis can potentially cause some contrarians investing at the time of a panic sell down months previous to declarations of bankruptcy or getting desisted from the company. ‘Contrarian’ in such situations can prove to be an instance of terrible decision. Contrarian investing is not about emotions. This is a long-term strategy. It is also potentially extremely profitable. It is regarding overcoming emotions of an individual and playing on the emotions of the ‘crowd’. As you get a ‘contrarian ‘position’, this is vital to encompass the rationale in place.